Independent equity research
Is Intel Corporation (INTC) a Buy, Hold or Sell?
Intel Corporation — our independent, AI-built valuation and rating, in brief.
SELL (reduce into strength)
12-mo fair value
$42.00
To fair value
−59%
By · report dated 2026-08-10 · fair value derived independently of the market price.
The thesis, in brief
At $98 Intel is priced for a 20.5% decade-long revenue CAGR to $409bn or a 68.8% mature operating margin, versus a 24% terminal margin and ROIC that never crosses an 11.5% WACC in my base case, and today's $15bn equity raise says management agrees the stock, not the business, is what is stretched
How we value it
We value Intel Corporation using 10-yr DCF on owner FCF (after SBC, net of capital offsets), WACC 11.5%, g 2.0%. The 12-month fair value is set from that intrinsic estimate first, then compared to the market to read the upside or downside — never anchored to the current price.
What the full report covers
- Business & moat + industry cycle
- Earnings quality & normalized EPS
- Returns on capital (ROIC vs WACC)
- Balance-sheet safety
- Two independent valuations (DCF + multiples)
- Bear / base / bull fair values
- Earnings-call analysis
- Insider activity & positioning
- Technicals (RSI / ADX)
- A falsifiable thesis
Read the full Intel Corporation report
The complete model, the scenarios, and every number behind the call — plus other names across the coverage. One subscription, cancel anytime.