Independent equity research
Is Vidrala (VID) a Buy, Hold or Sell?
Vidrala — our independent, AI-built valuation and rating, in brief.
BUY (accumulate)
12-mo fair value
€100.00
To fair value
+15%
By · report dated 2026-08-21 · fair value derived independently of the market price.
The thesis, in brief
Vidrala holds a 30% EBITDA margin and cleared its 8.15% cost of capital in every year of a cycle including the gas shock, yet trades at 13.6x 2026E; the thesis breaks if group pricing, still -1.7% in Q2-26 after six negative quarters, fails to reach zero by the 28 October print
How we value it
We value Vidrala using Scenario DCF on an own-build FCF path, cross-checked on glass-peer multiples. The 12-month fair value is set from that intrinsic estimate first, then compared to the market to read the upside or downside — never anchored to the current price.
What the full report covers
- Business & moat + industry cycle
- Earnings quality & normalized EPS
- Returns on capital (ROIC vs WACC)
- Balance-sheet safety
- Two independent valuations (DCF + multiples)
- Bear / base / bull fair values
- Earnings-call analysis
- Insider activity & positioning
- Technicals (RSI / ADX)
- A falsifiable thesis
Read the full Vidrala report
The complete model, the scenarios, and every number behind the call — plus other names across the coverage. One subscription, cancel anytime.